{"id":26837,"date":"2024-07-11T16:50:27","date_gmt":"2024-07-11T15:50:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/smh.group\/?p=26837"},"modified":"2024-09-25T12:58:15","modified_gmt":"2024-09-25T11:58:15","slug":"2024-a-year-of-elections-around-the-world","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/devstagesite.co.uk\/smhgroup\/2024-a-year-of-elections-around-the-world\/","title":{"rendered":"2024: A year of elections around the world"},"content":{"rendered":"

Market responses to elections should be treated with caution.<\/strong><\/p>\n

2024 is a year of elections around the globe \u2013 in varying shades of democracy. On some counts, around 60 countries will vote, representing close to half of the world\u2019s population. This includes eight of the world\u2019s most populous nations \u2013 Bangladesh, Brazil, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Pakistan, Russia, and the United States. June saw European Parliament elections, followed rapidly by the surprise calling of French parliamentary elections. By chance, the two polling days for those elections straddled the UK general election on 4 July.<\/p>\n

The big election of 2024 is the US presidential election due on 5 November. If the six weeks of the UK\u2019s general election seemed agonisingly long, you can understand why Americans, with their one-year-plus campaigns, feel envious of our democratic process. Even once the US votes are in, it will not be until 20 January 2025 that the new president is inaugurated \u2013 if all goes to plan this time.<\/p>\n

Investment markets take a close interest in political developments, but their guess is as good as ours at divining what impact the results will have and how to react to them. On long-term visualisations of major global stock market indices, it\u2019s virtually impossible to detect the changes of government along the paths of jagged lines without the help of parliamentary term shading.<\/p>\n

In the short term, market responses can be simply reactive. This was demonstrated in the world\u2019s largest election of 2024, which took place in India over seven phases between 19 April and 1 June. When the results were announced on 4 June, they were, in the words of The Economist<\/em>, \u2018A shock election result\u2019. As the graph above shows, the Indian stock market, as measured by the BSE Sensex Index, dived over 5.7% on the results day, having risen 3.4% the previous day. The \u2018shock\u2019 proved short-lived and three days later, as the political situation became clearer, the BSE Sensex was back above its pre-election level.<\/p>\n

For investors, it is arguable that politics is just noise. To borrow a long-ago US political soundbite, \u2018it\u2019s the economy, stupid\u2019, not politics, which has greater relevance.<\/p>\n

To discuss your financial planning,\u00a0contact<\/a>\u00a0our\u00a0Sheffield based Financial Advisers<\/strong><\/a> on 0114 266 4432<\/strong>\u00a0or\u00a0info@smh.group<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

The value of your investment and any income from it can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. <\/em><\/p>\n

Investing in shares should be regarded as a long-term investment and should fit in with your overall attitude to risk and financial circumstances.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2024 is a year of elections around the globe \u2013 in varying shades of democracy. On some counts, around 60 countries will vote, representing close to half of the world\u2019s population.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":26838,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[1299,78],"class_list":["post-26837","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-financial-services","tag-election","tag-investment"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n2024: A year of elections around the world - SMH Group<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"2024 is a year of elections around the globe. 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